Wednesday, April 22, 2015

Has Obama Lost His Mind, And Actually Done The Right Thing?

In an unprecedented move by our gutless President, Obama has surrounded the coasts of Yemen with American destroyers, and cruise missile launchers, reputedly to intercept any boats suspected of carrying re-supply weapons for the Shiite Muslim "insurgents", (probably Iranian crack troops, disguised as civilians, taking a tip from Russia's President Putin). But, based on Obama's trend towards outrageous gutlessness, I can't help feeling that he has instructed those ships' captains to do nothing that might upset Iran, like confiscating their weapons cargo, arresting the entire crew, and sinking their boat. They've probably been instructed to say, "have a nice day", and wave, "bye bye", to them as they sail safely to their destination. Pardon my cynicism, but after so many stupid decisions, Obama does not rate my trust that he is actually capable of making a correct decision seriously, and I suspect that this is just a pretend show of force with no teeth in it.

Even if it is genuine, and sincere, which I strongly doubt, what's to keep Iran from switching tactics and re-supplying their proxy troops overland, through Oman, the poor non-oil rich country to the immediate northeast of Yemen? To close the loop of insurgent re-supply efforts it would take probably thousands of "troops on the ground" and we know how anathema the White House is to authorize that, no matter how dire the emergency might be. I doubt if Oman has the military capacity to interdict such arms trafficking, simply because they are too poor, and such interdiction would cost money. On the other hand, they are Arabs, who are famous for their readiness to accept bribes, or "gifts" in order to cause them to look the other way. And Iran is certainly unscrupulous enough to cough up the cash to make them do so. That leaves only one other possibility: Saudi Arabia, which obviously recognizes that they (and their oil fields are the ultimate goal of the insurgents, and that Yemen is just a secondary base of operations, for an eventual two pronged attack upon the Saudis, and their neighbors, the Emirates. But I wonder if the Saudis can muster enough "boots on the ground" to get the job done. We know they have enough troops to muster for diplomatic parades (all fluff, and no stuff) but do they actually have an army to back up the bluster, or not? I suspect that they may have bought a treaty with America, that promises our army to come to their aid, if they are ever attacked. I don't know, but I wouldn't be surprised. If they did sign a treaty, it was with a reliable American administration, not the lilly-livered people in the White House, and State Department today.

So, the bottom line is, is this 'blockade' merely a grand, toothless demonstration, or is our gutless President actually capable of making the right decision, and following through with whatever it takes to get the job done? I am afraid I can guess the answer, but I suspect we'll find out soon enough.

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